PORTUGAL: LETTER OF INTENT
Lisbon, December 9, 2011
Ms. Christine Lagarde
Managing Director
International Monetary Fund
Washington, DC 20431
Dear Ms. Lagarde:
1. In the attached update to the earlier Memoranda of Economic and Financial Policies
(MEFPs), we describe progress and additional policy steps towards meeting the objectives of
the economic program of the Portuguese government which is being supported by an
Extended Arrangement.
2.Policy implementation is broadly on track. In particular, we believe that the recent
adoption of a bold and comprehensive 2012 budget will decisively set public finances on a
sustainable path and bolster market confidence in our program. All the quarterly quantitative
performance criteria for the second review were met, along with the continuous criterion on
external arrears. However, our end-September indicative target on the non-accumulation of
new domestic arrears by the general government was breached. As a corrective measure, to
avoid further arrears accumulation, we are strengthening commitment controls and ensuring
adequate budgetary allocations to the health sector.
3.Expenditure overruns and the materialization of fiscal risks have complicated the
attainment of end-2011 fiscal deficit target. However, we intend to meet the target through a
partial transfer of bank pension funds to the social security system—a one-off revenue item.
4.Fiscal-structural reform is addressing deep-seated problems with expenditure control.
To this end, we are strengthening public financial management, halting new PPP contracts,
fundamentally restructuring the SOE sector and limiting its capacity to incur further market
debt, and reforming revenue administration and the health sector. We are also revising our
inter-governmental fiscal framework to enhance fiscal responsibility. We will require a
statement of affairs for Madeira ahead of a financial arrangement with the region.
5.Our policy efforts to support financial system stability continue. Bank deleveraging is
progressing, and we will continue to ensure that their plans provide a level of credit
consistent with the program’s macroeconomic framework. The legal framework for
temporary capital increase of viable banks will be significantly improved by early 2012 with
a view to ensuring financial stability while protecting tax payers. The structural benchmark
on amending legislation to strengthen the early intervention framework and adopting the new
bank resolution framework will be met by year-end.2
6.Our ambitious structural reform agenda to foster higher and sustainable growth is on
track, although we did not implement a fiscal devaluation given the large fiscal
consolidation. We are working to give firms the flexibility to respond to changing demand
conditions without disruptive changes in employment, which is particularly important at this
point in the economic cycle. We are continuing to advance legislation and practices to
enhance the competition framework and facilitate market entry.
7.On the basis of the policies defined in this letter, we request completion of the second
review under the Extended Arrangement, and the third purchase under the arrangement in the
amount of SDR 2,425 million. The attached MEFP proposes new structural benchmarks
relating to the fiscal area (reforming the regional finance law, assessing PPPs, and priority
elements of SOE restructuring plans), structural reform (developing a proposal to correct
excessive rents in energy markets), the banking sector (the rules governing the provision of
public capital to banks), and the judicial process.
8.We remain confident that the policies described in the current and previous MEFPs
are adequate to achieve the objectives under the program. We stand ready to take additional
measures that may be needed to meet the objectives of the economic program and will
consult with the IMF, the European Commission, and the ECB, in advance of any necessary
revisions to the policies contained in this letter and attached Memorandum.
9.This letter is copied to Messrs. Juncker, Rehn, and Draghi.
Sincerely yours,
Vítor Gaspar Carlos da Silva Costa
Minister of State and Finance Governor of the Banco de Portugal
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